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Gilder Telecosm 2007

I came away from my visit to last years Telecosm (see articles here) pleasantly surprised by the quality of the debate. I had a chance to share a few beers with George Gilder and talk about the future of NPU’s and of the industry in general. I found the conference superior to standard investment conferences as it has real debate and hard audience questions.

You can imagine my pleasant surprise when I was invited back this year as a panelist. I’ll be participating in a panel debating flexible vs. fixed silicon solutions in the network (agenda here).

Presenting companies that fall under the Nyquist market model: LNOP, ANAD, QCOM, Luxtera, INFN, EQNX, and several more TBD. More information including registration can be found here.

The conference is being held in upstate New York this fall and always draws a very interesting speaker list – last year Steve Forbes, Michael Milken, Carver Mead and John Rutledge all delivered stellar presentations. I went in last year with a slightly negative bias of Gilder and the ‘Gilder Priesthood’ and came away with a positive impression. You might change your mind too. Hope to see you there.

Infinera – The Optical Component Company That Wasn’t

Infinera (INFN) had a very successful first day of trading after seven years of working counter to the popular and misguided beliefs of a Gilderesque all optical future.

Great controversy surrounds the company and investors wonder whether the valuation attached to company is justifiable. The valuation is indeed debatable and is predicated on their success penetrating the PTTs & Bellcos.

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Net Neutrality War Heating Up

It’s pretty clear that the AT&T (T ) and Bellsouth (BLS) merger has turned into a proxy war over Net Neutrality, with Yahoo (YHOO) and Google (GOOG) spearheading the effort in a naked attempt to keep their distribution costs near zero. Correspondingly, Washington bloodsuckers lobbyists on both sides are gearing up.
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Back To The Future

Bill Koss posts some entertaining anecdotes on the recent rumblings regarding “Booming Optical Growth

I’m paraphrasing the article – read it in full here. It’s more serious, I’m just grabbing the funny bits.

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Dr. Strangelove, Or: How I Learned To Stop Worrying and Love Huawei.

I know two American engineers who have relocated to China to lead optical module design teams at Chinese equipment companies. They live and work in China for Chinese companies, using their skills to build custom modules – skills no longer in demand from their American Tier-1 telecom equipment employers.

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Final Thoughts on Gilder Telecosm 2006

Going into this conference I was skeptical. I was not expecting an objective discussion about technology. I was expecting a forum where Gilder portfolio companies are given the microphone and allowed to preach to the Gilder priesthood, and a forum where dissidents to the Gilder viewpoint are viewed with skepticism. I was wrong.
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EZ-Chip and Raza Micro at Gilder Telecosm 2006

NPU companies consistently make the case the market is moving into their domain and that technology is their edge, right up to the point they go out of business.

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Day 3 Summary – Gilder Telecosm 2006

Steve Forbes, John Rutledge, and Carver Mead. In one day, in one place. Fantastic stuff, though readers should be warned you’ll gain more insight into my political rather than my technical beliefs by reading this post. You can be assured they are just as opinionated.

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Death of the All Optical Network – Gilder Telecosm 2006

infinera1.Png

Infinera took the bold and stunning risk of angering the Gilder priesthood by illustrating that an all optical network was not the future and not the best solution.

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Storewidth Bottlenecks – Gilder Telecosm 2006

This was a very interesting debate among some very heavy hitters who operate data centers about where the bottlenecks are in the data centers, and if the new model of massively distributed computing in one centralized data center is a sustainable model.

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